Ilia Topuria concerns bring Khabib Nurmagomedov’s Tony Ferguson prediction back into focus

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Ilia Topuria’s defeat to Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250 has created the first major uncertainty of his career.

The Spaniard had been unbeaten before Sunday, but a heavy loss to one of the sport’s most damaging fighters has raised questions about how he will respond.

That debate has brought Khabib Nurmagomedov’s old warning about Tony Ferguson back into focus, because Ferguson’s decline began after a similar night against Gaethje.

Khabib Nurmagomedov warned Tony Ferguson would not be the same

Ferguson entered UFC 249 with a 15-1 UFC record, but Gaethje punished him across five rounds and changed the direction of his career.

Khabib later predicted: “Tony Ferguson’s time is finished. Now he’s gonna come back and someone’s gonna beat him again, I believe. When you take damage like this, you’re never gonna be the same. Never ever, even if you’re Tony Ferguson. He took too much damage.”

That prediction proved accurate as Ferguson never truly recovered his previous level, completing an eight-fight skid before leaving UFC in 2025.

That is why Topuria’s situation feels so uncomfortable for some fans.

‘El Matador’ was 9-0 in the UFC before fighting Gaethje, and his aura was built on control, confidence and inevitability. Taking heavy damage from the same opponent naturally makes Khabib’s Ferguson take feel relevant again.

Ilia Topuria already explained how he would handle defeat

Topuria has previously rejected the idea that one loss would define him, making his comments to Spanish streamer Ibai Llanos especially notable now.

He said: “I mean, I’m going to beat everyone, and if I have to learn then I have to learn and that’s it. A person can fall. But you decide whether you fall into a rough patch or into a grave. I don’t plan on falling into a grave, you know? I’ll get back on my feet with my head held high. Because I know all the work I put in.”

That mindset now faces its first real test. Ferguson showed how brutal the aftermath of a Gaethje fight can be, but the 29-year-old still has the chance to prove this is only a setback.