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Why Arvell Reese is suddenly the favourite to be the No. 2 overall pick over David Bailey

Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images
Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images
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Arvell Reese’s late surge into contention for the No. 2 overall pick has shifted the conversation at the top of the 2026 NFL Draft, with momentum now leaning away from David Bailey and towards the Ohio State edge rusher.

There has been little mystery around the first selection, but the situation directly behind it has become increasingly fluid in the final days. Reese’s rise reflects a broader change in perception rather than a single defining event.

Teams at the top of the board appear to be weighing recent developments in the pre-draft process, with subtle signals shaping expectations around how early selections may unfold.

New York Jets’ pre-draft actions point towards an Arvell Reese shift

Arvell Reese #LB20 of Ohio State during the 2026 NFL Scouting Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images

The most significant development centres on the New York Jets, who hold the second overall pick and have played a key role in altering the landscape.

Reese has emerged as the leading candidate for that selection, with league-wide sentiment adjusting accordingly.

That shift has been influenced by the Jets’ decision to cancel a planned visit with Bailey while still hosting Reese at their facility.

Pre-draft visits often serve as a final layer of evaluation, and the contrast between those two decisions has drawn attention across the league.

However, those actions are not definitive. Teams frequently cancel visits for players they already feel strongly about, meaning the situation remains open to interpretation.

Arvell Reese vs David Bailey remains a top-tier draft debate

Reese and Bailey are widely regarded as the two premier edge rushers in this class, and both have consistently been linked with the top of the draft.

With the Jets yet to confirm their direction, the final outcome remains uncertain, but Reese’s emergence has clearly reshaped the discussion heading into draft night.