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Every step of the USMNT’s potential route to the World Cup 2026 final

Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY / AFP via Getty Images
Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY / AFP via Getty Images
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Hosting the World Cup for the first time since 1994, the United States men’s national team will hope that home advantage helps fuel a memorable run this summer.

Mauricio Pochettino’s side know their group-stage opponents, but their potential route through the knockout rounds could feature several of the world’s elite teams.

We have mapped out the USMNT’s projected path to the 2026 World Cup final, depending on where they finish in Group D.

USA as Group D winners

RoundOpponent (projected)Venue
Group StageParaguayLos Angeles
Group StageAustraliaSeattle
Group StageTurkeyLos Angeles
Round of 32Third-placed team from Groups B, E, F, I or JSan Francisco
Round of 16BelgiumSeattle
Quarter-finalSpainLos Angeles
Semi-finalFrance or GermanyDallas
FinalEngland or BrazilEast Rutherford

If the USMNT wins Group D, they would likely face a third-placed side in San Francisco before a potential showdown with Belgium in the last 16.

Spain are their projected quarter-final opponents, while France or Germany could await in Dallas if Pochettino’s side reach the semi-finals.

England and Brazil, two of the best teams on the opposite side of the bracket, could make the final at MetLife Stadium.

USMNT Training 03/25-03/30
Photo by John Dorton/ISI Photos/USSF/Getty Images

USA as Group D runners-up

RoundOpponent (projected)Venue
Group StageParaguayLos Angeles
Group StageAustraliaSeattle
Group StageTurkeyLos Angeles
Round of 32BelgiumTexas
Round of 16ArgentinaDallas
Quarter-finalPortugalKansas City
Semi-finalEngland or BrazilAtlanta
FinalSpain or FranceEast Rutherford

Should the United States finish second in Group D, the path becomes significantly tougher.

A likely round-of-32 clash with Belgium could be followed by Lionel Messi’s Argentina in the last 16 and Cristiano Ronaldo’s Portugal in the quarter-final.

England or Brazil could then stand in the USA’s way of a showdown against either of the two favourites, Spain or France.

USA as Group D’s third-placed team

RoundsOpponent (projected)Venue
Group StageParaguayLos Angeles
Group StageAustraliaSeattle
Group StageTurkeyLos Angeles
Round of 32GermanyBoston
Round of 16FrancePhiladelphia
Quarter-finalNetherlandsBoston
Semi-finalSpainDallas
FinalEngland or BrazilEast Rutherford

If the United States progress as one of the best third-placed teams, they would face an almost impossible route to the final.

They could face Germany in the round of 32, followed by France in the last 16 and the Netherlands in the quarter-finals.

Spain could then await in the semi-finals, before a potential showdown with either England or Brazil if they miraculously made it to the final.