Liverpool won the tournament in 2019 but are not given much hope of regaining it this time around
Injuries and loss of form have combined to make it a wretched campaign for Liverpool on the domestic front, but they remain in a decent position when it comes to the Champions League.
Jurgen Klopp has seen his side’s title defence crumble, with 22 points between them and leaders Manchester City.
In Europe, however, they secured a commendable 2-0 win away from home in the first leg of their last-16 tie against RB Leipzig.
With progression to the quarter-finals looking likely, Klopp would be entitled to feel optimistic about ending this disappointing season on a high.
American data analysts FiveThirtyEight are less optimistic.
The analysis firm, created by high-profile statistician Nate Silver, has released its latest ‘Club Soccer Predictions’, and they make Pep Guardiola’s men clear favourites to win the Champions League.
City’s chances of winning the tournament are given as 40%, four times Liverpool’s 10%.
The Anfield side are ranked third in the list, with Bayern Munich in second on 13%.
Liverpool are given a 93% chance of reaching the last eight, a 48% chance of making it to the semis and a 23% chance of competing in the final.
City also won 2-0 in Germany last week, beating Borussia Mönchengladbach in their first-leg match.
Their chances of making the next stage are considered greater than 99%. From there, it’s 77% to make the semi-finals and 58% to reach the final.
There’s some more pleasing news for City fans when it comes to the stats predicting this season’s Premier League winners.
City, who hold a 15-point gap at the top of the EPL, are given a likelihood of greater than 99% for glory, while both sixth-placed Liverpool and second-placed Manchester United are on less than 1%.
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