According to Ladbrokes betting odds, the Prime Minister herself is the favourite to exit the country's top governing team.
Theresa May has had a rollercoaster ride of a premiership. After an unremarkable time spent as Home Secretary, she was elevated to the position of Prime Minister following David Cameron’s decision to step down after 2016’s EU referendum. Until April 2017, she performed well in the polls and looked set to win a massive majority.
But during the general election campaign, she fell from grace. Labour surged in the polls and ended up stripping the Conservatives of their majority. For that reason, as well as the ongoing Brexit struggle, it is hardly surprising that Theresa May’s is the Ladbrokes favourite to next leave the cabinet.
Ladbrokes offers odds of 3/1 for the PM to be the next cabinet minister to exit (as of 23rd February 2018). This would require a vote of no confidence and either a resignation or a defeat in a subsequent leadership contest.
Odds of 6/1 are offered for Brexit Secretary David Davis and 8/1 for Philip Hammond.
Michael Gove looks relatively safe with odds of 20/1.
When will Theresa May exit?
Reports have regularly highlighted that May plans to continue as Tory leader, however, others in the cabinet likely have different ideas. In all likelihood, she will not lead her party into the general election: with the threat of Corbyn’s Labour taking power, Conservatives will want someone who can obliterate Labour.
After last year’s election, Theresa May is evidently not that person.
But when exactly should she go?
A move to oust the PM before Brexit is complete risks destabilising the government, so 2018 looks unlikely.
But 2019 – or even 2020 – could be the best option.