In three months’ time, parts of the country - including all of London - will return to the polls in what will be the first big electoral test for Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn since last year’s general election. In London, all borough seats are up for grabs, with the assumption from many in the media being that there will be a Labour tsunami and a Tory bloodbath.
The latest YouGov poll for Queen Mary University of London asked Londoners who they would back if local elections were held tomorrow.
A striking 54% of Londoners said they would back Labour, almost double the 28% who opted for the Conservatives.
A further 4% said they backed the Greens while 2% said UKIP.
The poll is extremely good news for Labour, with Britain Elects highlighting that the poll puts Labour a whopping 16 points ahead of where it was in 2014. If repeated in May, Labour will make major gains.
However, they also point out that the Conservatives are up two points while the Liberal Democrats remain steady on 11%.
The poll is not definitive. After all, last year’s general election shows that election campaigns can dramatically turn the electoral tide.
Nonetheless, it’s hard to see the London’s local elections ending in anything other than a sea of red and bleary-eyed Tories.
That all said, could a significant defeat for the blues force them to raise their game?
Major losses in the capital could be exactly what the party needs.
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