US election 2020: Oprah Winfrey would defeat Donald Trump, says poll

The talk-show host and billionaire is being discussed as a serious political contender for the 2020 presidential contest.

Following Oprah Winfrey’s speech at the Golden Globes, there has been much media speculation that she might run for president in two years time.

According to the Guardian, Trump says he would beat Oprah in a potential contest in 2020.

However, a new poll from Rasmussen, suggests that the TV star would defeat the incumbent president.

The Rasmussen poll puts the Democrat on 48% (including on 22% of Republicans) and Donald Trump on 38%. A further 14% said they did not know, which is understandable as at this stage, it is a purely hypothetical question and there are still question marks over what sort of campaign Oprah would run if she were to throw her hat into the ring.

There is no doubt that Oprah would return a certain level of humility and respect to the Office of the President, which has been lacking this past year, but at this stage she is all style and no substance. As a Democrat, we roughly know her values, but where does she stand on the big policy questions? These are questions she will need to answer if she runs for the highest office in the land.

Analysis: could Oprah become president?

The short answer is yes, it’s possible, but there are dozens of obstacles on her path to the presidency. To become president, Oprah would have to defeat a host of Democratic candidates possibly including Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris.

If she runs a centrist campaign, she runs the risk of losing out to progressive firebrands like Sanders and Warren who have re-engerised the party’s base in recent years.

Furthermore, mistakes could kill off her chances. Unlike Trump, who turned blunders and scandals into tools to fight the establishment, Oprah would be more at risk of mistakes as she would no doubt run a much cleaner campaign, something accentuated by the fact it would be her first big bid for public office.

In sum, of course it’s possible, and while she is the betting markets’ third favourite to win in 2020, according to Oddschecker as of 11th January, at this stage it still looks improbable.

Then again, if polls show her consistently beating Trump, Democrats might just be tempted.