The odds have shortened for Boris Johnson to leave May's cabinet

Could Boris Johnson be edging closer to a cabinet exit?

Splits emerged in the cabinet over the weekend when Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson wrote an article in the Daily Telegraph outlining his proposal for the country once it exits the European Union

This was followed by retaliation from Home Secretary Amber Rudd. Speaking on the BBC’s Andrew Marr Show on Sunday she accused Johnson of “back-seat driving” the Brexit negotiations.

Back at the end of July, HITC Politics reported that Philip Hammond was the favourite Tory minister to next leave the cabinet in terms of Ladbrokes’ betting odds (3/1). At the time, the company offered odds of 5/1 for May herself to be the minister next to leave cabinet. Furthermore, the firm also offered odds of 6/1 for Patrick McLoughlin to be the next member to leave, followed by odds of 10/1 each for Brexiteers Boris Johnson and Michael Gove.

The odds for Johnson have shortened over the weekend, with Ladbrokes now offering odds of 4/1 for Johnson to be the next Tory minister to leave the cabinet (as of Monday 18th September), making him the joint-favourite alongside Chancellor Philip Hammond.

Could Boris be on his way out?

The Guardian reported back in July that the 1922 Committee told May they would support her if she sought to sack “disloyal” back-benchers. May suffered at the election, but has been making a slow recovery in the polls, suggesting that she has the political capital to make some changes at the top of her table.

On one hand, cutting Johnson loose could show strength at a time when the government needs it. Then again, the prime minister may have calculated that it is better to have bombastic Johnson on the inside.

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