Cable only recently became leader of the Liberal Democrats, but who could replace him when the time comes?
After no one stood against him in this summer’s leadership “election”, Sir Vince Cable, the newly re-elected MP for Twickenham, was automatically “elected” leader of his party. For now, his position is secure, but who are the likely candidates to replacement when he eventually leaves his role?
MPs included are those with the shortest odds, according to betting comparison site Oddschecker. All odds are accurate as of 24th August.
1. Jo Swinson
Ahead of the latest Lib Dem leadership election, many suspected that Swinson would seek the top job following her victory over the SNP in Dunbartonshire East. She was seen as the favourite to succeed Tim Farron, but in the end decided not to run, and became the party’s deputy leader instead.
Her odds with Coral are 1/1, making her the betting market’s favourite for the job should it become available.
2. Norman Lamb
Lamb stood against Farron in 2015 and it was thought he would stand again, however, he did not run after Farron's resignation. This former coalition minister and mental health champion is the second favourite to succeed Vince Cable, coming in with strong odds of 6/1 with Coral and Betway.
3. Ed Davey
Like the two before him, it was suspected that the former energy minister would throw his hat into the race, having won back his seat in June’s election, but in the end he did not, citing family reasons, according to Lib Dem Voice.
His odds are 10/1 with both Coral and Betway.
4. Layla Moran
One of four female Lib Dem MPs to be elected to parliament in June, the betting odds suggests that Moran has a reasonable chance of becoming the party’s next leader. Writing in Lib Dem Voice, she ruled out a bid in the recent contest, saying that as a newly elected MP she wanted to concentrate on her constituents. She also said that she would have nominated another MP had they decided to stand for the leadership to ensure a contest. In the end that did not happen.
Coral provides odds of 10/1 while Betway gives odds of 14/1.
5. Christine Jardine
Jardine recently appeared in our list of 7 MPs to watch this parliament, following her win over the SNP in the Lib Dem stronghold of Edinburgh West.
The odds of Jardine becoming the next Liberal Democrat leader are 16/1 with Coral and 20/1 with Betway. The Liberal Democrats have a rich history of electing Scottish leaders, could Jardine continue that tradition?
6. Alistair Carmichael
Carmichael has represented the seat of Orkney and Shetland since 2001. He saw off a strong challenge from the SNP in June to retain the seat with a majority of over 4000.
He has governmental experience, having served as Secretary of State for Scotland during the final years of the coalition government, and currently serves as the Lib Dem’s Chief Whip.
Despite his experience, his odds are 25/1 with Coral and 33/1 with Betway.
7. Jamie Stone
Four of the twelve Liberal Democrats MPs elected this June represent Scottish constituencies, with all four making this list. Stone won the seat of Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross by beating the SNP into second place. He represented the equivalent seat in the Scottish parliament between 1999 and 2011, but made a stunning return to parliamentary politics this June.
His odds of becoming the next Lib Dem leader are the same as Carmichael’s: 25/1 with Coral and 33/1 with Betway.
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