SNP surge to 54% in latest opinion poll

The SNP surge has reached new limits as a poll suggests that the party could be on 54% of the vote.

The TNS poll in Scotland reiterates the growth in support of the SNP and suggests that the they could be on course to pick up almost every seat north of the border. Such a result would be a disaster for Labour and the Liberal Democrats who hold most of Scotland's seats.

The poll puts Labour in second place, with less than half the share that the SNP have, on 22%. The poll puts the Conservatives in third place on 13%, the Lib Dems on 6% and UKIP and the Greens on 2% each.

The results give the SNP a two point bump from the last TNS Scotland only poll conducted and put Labour two points down from last time.

Speaking about the poll, TNS Scotland Head, Tom Costley, said:

"Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP appear to be going from strength to strength."

However, it appears that a lot of voters are undecided in who they will vote for. The figures above give the shares of everyone who has said they are voting for someone. Out of everyone certain to vote a total of 29% have yet to make up their minds, suggesting that there is still some hope for the other parties.

Nonetheless, it cannot be denied the extent to which the SNP have made progress since the referendum. And even if the party get a share of the vote in the low forties, rather than in the fifties, they will likely take a considerable chunk of the nation’s seats.

Furthermore, respondents were also asked who they think will get the best deal for Scotland in Westminster. 42% said Nicola Sturgeon, whilst Jim Murphy, the Scottish leader, came well behind his rival with just 8% picking him.

Overall, it is clear that the political lanscape has changed dramatically since the referendum and unless something changes in the next 10 days the SNP look set to dominate Scotland's political stage.

The full results of the TNS Scotland poll can be found here.


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