The poll, released 13th September, differs from standard surveys as it did not ask who the 2,008 people will vote for, but instead asked various questions about the party.
A total of 7% of those asked said they most closely identify with the Green party, ahead of the Liberal Democrats on 5%. They fell just behind UKIP on 10%. Meanwhile, 32% identified with Labour and 20% with the Conservative party. The poll shows that the Greens are becoming a force to be reckoned with and could even gain additional seats in 2015.
A total of 22%, however, did not state a party they identified with.
More interestingly, when asked whether they would consider voting for the Green Party 43% said ‘I might vote for them’. The question demonstrates, that despite small polling numbers, more than two in five people would consider voting Green.
In this particular poll, about UKIP, 34% said they ‘might vote for UKIP’, placing the Greens ahead. Furthermore, 62% said they would never vote UKIP, much more than the 54% who would ‘never vote’ Green.
Out of the ‘I might vote for them’ questions, the Greens came third, also five points ahead of the Liberal Democrats with 38% saying they ‘might vote’ Lib Dem. This excludes the SNP and Plaid Cymru as the sample sizes were smaller.
The Greens came third behind Conservatives (44% might vote for them) and Labour (60%).
This slow rise of the Greens should hardly come as a surprise. People are dissatisfied with the mainstream and are looking outside the box - going to parties like UKIP and the Greens instead. Furthermore, the Greens gained an MEP earlier this year (resulting in them having three times as many MEPs than the Lib Dems) and have done well by increasing their number of councilors in local elections.
Whether this rise can be sustained is yet to be seen. But with 7% of people identifying most closely with the Greens and 43% considering they ‘might vote’ Green, then there exists a massive capacity for the Greens to expand. But only in 2015 we will find out if this can be achieved.
The full topline figures from the survey can be accessed here: http://www.ipsos-mori.com/Assets/Docs/Polls/jrrt-state-of-the-nation-topline-2014.pdf
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