The recent announcement of a Welsh Assembly by-election date prompts the discussion.
The new YouGov poll, conducted for Cardiff University and ITV, gives Labour a strong lead in Wales for Westminster voting intentions.
A new YouGov poll for ITV indicates that UKIP are on course to win its first ever Welsh election seats. And not just one. Potentially eight.
By the end of this year Labour will have a new leader. Whoever it is will have a tough task in rebuilding support in 2016.