Will a new grand coalition strengthen Germany’s extremes?

Angela Merkel Speaks

Angela Merkel could be set to lead another grand coalition, but at what cost?

According to the BBC, there has been a “breakthrough” in talks between Germany’s centre-right CDU/CSU alliance and the centre-left SPD led by former European Parliament president Martin Schulz.

After September’s election, the SPD ruled out working with the CDU, prompting the latter to enter discussions with the liberal FPD and the Greens. These talks soon collapsed, and the SPD agreed to discuss options with the CDU.

The country is still months away from having a fully-functioning government, but the chances of a renewed alliance between the country’s two main parties have just grown.

Emmanuel Macron & Merkel European Council meeting

As of last year’s elections, the Bundestag is the most diverse in the post-war years. At the vote, the far-right AfD came third and the SPD and the CDU each lost votes and seats. A renewed alliance runs the risk of weakening the country’s centre-ground and strengthening its extremes.

One can only presume the SPD hoped to wade it out as a strong opposition while a fractured, three-way, ideologically diverse Merkel-led government fought amongst itself, so a likely return to government will not help them carve out their own image in opposition to the centre-right's.

This all leads to one possible outcome. A new grand coalition will provide stability for four years and keep Germany on a sensible, establishment-led course, but at what cost? Germany has never had so many options at the ballot box and at some point or another a significant proportion of the country will want change.

Germany’s establishment should be worried that such a change comes in the form of the AfD.