December: who's favourite to be next Conservative leader?

Amber Rudd

Continuing our monthly rundown of who is the favourite to be the next Conservative leader, Matt Gillow examines the odds:

Jacob Rees-Mogg

The Mogg has usurped David Davis at the top of the tables. After a difficult month for Brexit negotiations, with the very idea of a 'Brexit bill' pleasing absolutely nobody, Rees-Mogg has overtaken the Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union and, despite still never having held ministerial office and being far more coy with his ambitions than the likes of Tom Tugendhat and James Cleverly, now sits as favourite to take over from Mrs May. (Paddy Power, 4/1.)

Amber Rudd

The Home Secretary didn#t even feature in our round-up last month, but makes an appearance at number 2 for December. Rumours about a Conservative clique including former Prime Ministers David Cameron and John Major supporting Rudd have potentially fuelled support, with some voters pining for the steady politics from days of old. Nonetheless, Rudd may find it tricky to please the Tory grassroots, as her views on encryption and other policy areas haven't proven popular - let alone her slim constituency majority. (SkyBet, 8/1.)

Andrea Leadsom

Still hovering about, it seems. Last month, I expressed my shock that Leadsom was still in the running after her poor campaign in 2016 and lack of popular appeal, but it doesn't seem as if she's going away in a hurry. Potentially, Conservatives are dreaming about what 'could have been' - a Brexiteer leader who, retrospectively, is no less wooden than Theresa May. (SkyBet, 8/1 - Paddy Power, 10/1.)

Ruth Davidson

The kick boxing Scot is the darling of the One Nation set of Tories - with one major issue; she isn't actually an MP. Whilst this wouldn't stop her taking over from May as leader, Ruth has previously expressed no interest at moving over the border and taking a seat in Westminster. This would make any Davidson premiership fraught with difficulty - but that hasn't stopped her gaining widespread popular appeal, particularly amongst other parties, who see her as the 'least worst option.' (Paddy Power, 10/1.)

The rest

Tom Tugendhat, Dom Raab, and James Cleverly still hover just behind the leading pack. The smart money could arguably be placed on one of them - take David Cameron, who was a dark horse for the leadership before the last few weeks of his race against David Davis. Conventionally, the next Tory leader is never one of the frontrunners, which may rule out Mogg, Davis, and co. Cleverly sits at 22/1, whilst Tugendhat and Raab are comfy at 20/1 (SkyBet.)