Odds slashed on Damian Green to leave Theresa May’s cabinet

Damian Green

Could Britain’s de facto deputy prime minister become the third cabinet minister to leave in little over a month?

The odds on Damian Green being the next government minister out the door have been slashed to evens with Ladbrokes.

At the start of November, Defence Secretary Michael Fallon resigned from government following allegations of sexual harassment. In a surprise move, he was replaced by Gavin Williamson, then the chief whip. One week later, Priti Patel resigned and was replaced by Penny Mordaunt.

Michael Fallon at EDF's Teesside offshore windfarm

According to the BBC, allegations from a former police chief that Green had pornography on an old office computer appeared in early November, allegations that Green strongly denied. Then on Friday, Neil Lewis, who was a detective at the time of the office raids nine years ago, alleged that there had been “thousands” of pornographic images on the computer in Green’s then office, as reported by the BBC.

In response to these allegations, the odds on First Secretary of State Damian Green being the next cabinet minister out the door have been slashed.

Two weeks ago, HITC reported that Green was the favourite minister next to leave, with odds of 3/1 with Ladbrokes.

As of Friday morning, Ladbrokes offer evens for Green to be the next cabinet minister to go.

Analysis:

If Damian Green steps down, there will likely be two major consequences. Firstly, Theresa May’s cabinet will have suffered its third major scalp in just over a month, something that will inevitably boost Labour’s moral as they move closer and closer to power. The loss of Britain's de facto prime minister will be symbolic of the struggling government.

Secondly, Green’s resignation would likely prompt calls for the prime minister to launch a cabinet reshuffle to ensure that her government suffers no more damaging resignations. Rebooting her cabinet, could be May’s last hope.