The latest YouGov/Times poll, conducted between the 23rd and 24th October and released on Friday, puts Labour on 43% of the vote, two points ahead of the Conservatives who are on 41%. The poll also suggests that 7% of Brits would back the Liberal Democrats while 4% would support the SNP or Plaid Cymru, 3% UKIP and 2% the Green Party.
The poll reveals little change in the week since the previous YouGov/Times poll, which put the Conservatives on 40%, Labour on 42% and the Liberal Democrats on 8% - all in all not a statistically significant shift in opinion. The new poll shows that Labour continues to lead with remain voters (53%) and that the Conservatives lead with leave-backers (60%).
The new poll also asked voters for their opinion on who they trust most on negotiating Brexit out of the two main party leaders. 32% picked Theresa May, significantly ahead of the 17% who said they would trust Corbyn on negotiating the country’s departure from the union.
Overall, the winner on this question was “neither” with 33% picking that option, well ahead of the 3% that said both equally and the 15% who said they did not know.
In sum, the poll suggests that little has changed in the months since the election. Labour have a slight advantage, as shown in this poll, but the closeness in recent polls such as this one indicate that a Labour victory following the next election, while the media's narrative and the betting markets suggest it looks likely, is still going to be an uphill battle for Corbyn.
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The full results of the YouGov poll can be accessed here.