Jeremy Corbyn's Labour more popular than Blair in 1997, suggests poll

Jeremy Corbyn Smile

The latest YouGov poll for the Sunday Times puts Labour on a significant 44% of the vote. Can Jeremy Corbyn’s party keep it up?

The YouGov poll was conducted between the 31st July and 1st August, and puts Labour in the lead. It gives Jeremy Corbyn’s party 44%, three percentage points ahead of the Conservatives who stand on 41%. If voters in a general election were to vote like those in this poll, it would likely put Jeremy Corbyn into Number 10.

Such a result would be better than the 43% of the vote Tony Blair achieved in his 1997 landslide victory.

Prime Minister Tony Blair Side Angle

The poll marks a slight change from the previous one conducted in the middle of July, which put Labour on 43% and the Tories on 41%.

The new poll also puts the Liberal Democrats on 7%, up from the 6% they had in July.

As for the minor parties, it puts UKIP on 3% and the Greens on 2%.

In terms of who voters think would make the best prime minister, 36% of respondents picked Theresa May ahead of the 33% who opted for the Labour leader. This suggests things are moving in Corbyn’s direction as the previous poll put the Labour leader on 32% while May was on 37%.

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Analysis

While the differences between this YouGov poll and the previous one are small, this new poll indicates that the political ground is shifting in Jeremy Corbyn’s preferred direction. The 44% is great news for Labour, as is the narrowing of the gap for who would make the best prime minister, but if Corbyn wants to ensure that it is him walking into Number 10 following the next election, Labour will need to widen the gap between his party and the Conservatives.

Overall, the poll adds to the post-election narrative that it is Corbyn and Labour who are on the path to victory. But can Labour do it?


The full results of the YouGov/Sunday Times poll can be accessed here. A total of 1,665 GB adults were polled between the 31st July and 1st August 2017.