Usually, you can tell if a pundit has at least done some research if they offer an opinion not based on the Premier League table.
All too often, people will say 'Villa, Sunderland and Newcastle are going down' because they are currently in the bottom three. If Norwich then drop to 18th the following week, that same pundit will explain their theory about why they thought the Canaries were going down all along.
Danny Murphy, however, has somewhat bucked the trend and explained why Sunderland have a better chance of staying up than Newcastle - despite sitting lower than them in the Premier League table, according to BBC Football.
But the BBC pundit believes Sunderland have a better chance of staying up due to Sam Allardyce's expertise when it comes to fighting relegation - and the fact the Sunderland players are actually willing to show some fight.
Murphy said on Match of the Day 2: "I think Sunderland have more chance because of Sam Allardyce and the fact their players are prepared to put in a shift."
After seeing them beat Manchester United - and Newcastle get thrashed 5-1 at Chelsea - it's hard to disagree.