Ian Holloway believes Middlesbrough will beat Leeds United 2-1 in the Championship this weekend - with David Nugent scoring the winner, according to his regular predictions column for Sky Sports.
And the pundit has recalled how 'woeful' the Whites were when they lost 3-0 at the Riverside Stadium earlier this season.
Uwe Rosler was in charge then and Holloway insists Leeds have improved under Steve Evans.
But Holloway told Sky: "I was at the Riverside for the corresponding fixture and Leeds were woeful that day. However, they are far more resolute under Steve Evans, who has made them a tough nut to crack.
"Middlesbrough need a positive result in this game as their promotion rivals all have winnable games on Saturday. David Nugent missed a bit of a sitter in the 1-1 draw with MK Dons in midweek but he's getting into good positions and scored against Leeds earlier this season. He's good for the winning goal."
Holloway is right on two counts. United were awful last time out against Boro and they are certainly more resolute under Evans.
However, one thing Leeds fans aren't happy about under their current manager is the level of some of their performances going forward.
The Scot compared Nottingham Forest's style of play to watching paint dry when they beat Leeds 1-0 but United weren't much better - and often aren't in the final third.
A strong performance will be needed against Middlesbrough and, while they may be more solid at the back, Leeds' forwards will need to significantly up their game, too.