Jamie Redknapp is unswayed by Arsenal's Community Shield win, and is backing Chelsea to retain their title.
He said: "I think they’ll be pushed much harder this season by Manchester City, Arsenal and Manchester United. However, when push comes to shove, Jose Mourinho’s team have the winning mentality that is needed."
On the outside looking in, subsequently are Liverpool, who Redknapp feels just are not quite at the level of last season's top four.
He added: "Liverpool have signed some good players and I hope my old club can reach the top four but it will probably need one of the other big clubs to under-perform significantly for it to happen."
Are Manchester United most at risk?
Firstly it's a disappointment for Liverpool not to be in the title conversation, having come so close a two seasons ago to winning the league, but the sale of Luis Suarez hit them hard last year, finishing sixth.
They have invested heavily this summer in Christian Benteke and Roberto Firmino, but as Redknapp points out, it is about waiting for one of their rivals to slip up.
Last season they lost home and away to Manchester United, and cannot afford similar results this time around.
If they can reverse that, it would be a huge swing this coming season. United may have improved their midfield but their defence is suspect, having failed to sign a centre-back this summer, and are placing a risky amount of faith in Chris Smalling and Chris Jones.
United's decision to pass on Christian Benteke was masked at the time he signed for Liverpool by hints they could be signing a top striker of their own, but at present they have yet to do so, and are worryingly over-reliant on Wayne Rooney to score goals.