David Cameron has a bumpy ride ahead but will likely end on a high

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The Conservatives have a small majority, but David Cameron will go out on a high.

With the assumption that David Cameron is set to depart the political stage as Prime Minister before the 2020 general election, or at very least not go into the election as the potential next Conservative Prime Minister, David Cameron’s two terms in office will end on a high.

David Cameron led the Conservatives to victory in 2010, but he failed to get a Conservative majority and instead formed a coalition with the Liberal Democrats. The 2015 election could very well have ended in defeat for the Conservative leader but Cameron led his party to an overall majority, something thought near impossible by many political commentators and most opinion polls. The Conservatives managed to increase their number of seats - the first time that had been done by an incumbent government in years.

The road to 2020 will be a bumpy one. The Conservatives have a slender majority, one which will be chipped at in the years to come. David Cameron will be criticised by many for the policies of cuts that will come, but in terms of playing the political game Cameron will go out like Blair rather than Brown. Tony Blair left before the financial crash, and yes the shadow of Iraq still looms over him, but he went out having won three general elections in a row for Labour - an historical first. Brown on the other hand led Labour to defeat in 2010.

Assuming David Cameron bows out and does not lead the party into the 2020 election he will be remembered well. He took the Conservatives into government for the first time in thirteen years then led them into the 2015 general election and came out with the first Conservative majority since 1992.

And while Lynton Crosby, the party’s election chief, arguably had a lot to do with the victory it was David Cameron who led the party to its first majority win in twenty-three years. And with Cameron set to step down before a third term his election record will remain in tact.

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