Conservative party on 37%, whilst UKIP continue to lag

David Cameron Open Mouthed

The latest YouGov poll has put the party on 37% - the highest for some time.

A total of 1,583 GB adults were questioned between the 1st and 2nd of April, meaning that the seven-way debate held on the evening of the will have had no impact on the poll.

The poll gave the following results:

CONSERVATIVES 37%. LABOUR 35%. UKIP 12%. LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 7%. GREENS 5%. SNP/PCY 4%. OTHER 1%.

The 37% is a new high for the Conservatives in a YouGov poll for a long time, something indicating that the party could be gaining momentum in the run up to the election in just over a month. However, the poll puts Labour just two points behind David Cameron’s party, still within the margin of error, indicating just how tight the election is.

What’s interesting about this poll and other recent polls is that UKIP’s share of the vote has fallen since the start of this year and has fallen even further since their high in last year’s EU elections. This arguably suggests that the party is losing momentum and that the party may be past its peak.

To an extent, this coincides with the Conservatives’ share of the vote increasing - to the high of 37% - which could mean that many Conservatives who were previously tempted to vote UKIP are now returning to vote for David Cameron’s party.

If this poll is a sign that the Conservative are winning - and winning back from UKIP - then David Cameron could be remaining in Number 10. If not then Ed Miliband could be walking through that famous black door in just over one months time.

See the full results of the YouGov poll here.

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