Green surge: Green party pulls two points ahead of the Lib Dems

Vote Green sign

Tuesday’s YouGov poll for the Sun puts the Greens in fourth place in the polls on 8%, whilst Nick Clegg’s party are on 6%.

The poll shows a continuing trend in recent YouGov polls that the Green party are steadily moving into fourth place. Recent polls have put the Green party ahead of the Liberal Democrats, but generally by just one point. A two point lead over the Lib Dems can be seen as a success by Natalie Bennett - leader of the Green Party of England and Wales.

Interestingly, the poll suggests that some 17% of those who voted for the Liberal Democrats in 2010 now intend to vote Green. 5% of those who voted Labour last time also intend to vote Green, whilst a small but noticeable 2% of those who voted for the Conservatives in 2010 would now vote for the Green party.

And this is all despite exclusion by some of the mainstream media. The fact that the party is being denied a role in the upcoming TV debates is unfair. Furthermore, the party has not just been rising in the polls. They came fourth this year in the EU Parliament in elections in the UK and have seen a steady increase in their number of councilors.

The poll also suggests that the party has a large youth following with 19% of those 18-24 intending to vote for the party. Contrast this with the 10% of those 25-39, 6% of those 40-59% and 4% of those over sixty, intending to vote for the Greens. If the party can extend their youth vote further in 2015 then could end up affecting key marginal seats and perhaps even adding to their total of one MP.

The Greens are clearly making a mark and could make a bigger one next May. Whilst most of the focus in 2015 will be on the battle at the top between the Conservatives and Labour - this same poll gave Labour a two point lead - and the rise of UKIP, which the poll puts on 14%, the Greens could do something remarkable and push the Liberal Democrats into fifth place - or at the very least come close to doing just that.

The Green party are steadily growing. There is a Green surge.

The survey asked 1648 GB adults between the 14th and 15th December. The full results of the poll can be found here. http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/gb2s5b76rk/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-151214.pdf

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