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Reading into Bayern Munich’s reported £30m January bid for Arsenal’s Mesut Ozil

Bayern Munich will reportedly make a £30 million bid for Arsenal playmaker Mesut Ozil in the January transfer window.

Reports linking Arsenal playmaker Mesut Ozil with a move to Bayern Munich have resurfaced. On Sunday, The Daily Mail claimed that the German giants are ‘lining up a bid of around £30 million’ for the 25-year-old.

It has also been reported that Ozil himself wants to leave the Gunners as he has ‘grown increasingly unhappy at the Emirates, not least because he is not being played in his preferred forward floating role by Arsene Wenger’.

Yours truly will not speculate on whether Ozil has become disillusioned with life at Arsenal because of playing out wide so far this season, but it is worth exploring the reasons why Bayern may not make an offer for the 2014 World Cup winner in the January transfer window.

First of all, Bayern do not ‘need’ Ozil. Coach Pep Guardiola has one of the three strongest squads in Europe, and the Arsenal playmaker is not going to add much.

This does not mean that Ozil is not good enough for Bayern; it's just that he will just be another top-class attacker for a Bayern side replete with similar players.

There is already a very fierce competition for places at Bayern and signing Ozil is only going to increase that – something that Guardiola will not relish as it could make players frustrated. There are already doubts on the future of winger Xherdan Shaqiri, and recruiting Ozil could unsettle other players.

Then there is the question whether Bayern will want to take a risk on Ozil given his recent injury problems. The former Real Madrid star is currently sidelined with a knee problem and could be out for up to three months. Which leads one to question why Bayern will come in for a player who will have just recovered.

There is also the small matter of the transfer fee. Will Bayern be willing to pay as much as £30 million for an attacking player they do not need?

Logically, it does not make any sense for Bayern to make a £30m bid for Ozil in January, but then again football does not always follow logic...

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