Paul Tudor Jones, Michael Novogratz and Louis Bacon, hedge-fund managers that profited last year from bets on macroeconomic trends, posted losses in the first quarter as some of those trades turned against them.
Bloomberg News reports that markets gyrated in the first three months of the year as investors fled developing countries in anticipation of further reduction in U.S. monetary stimulus, Russian President Vladimir Putin annexed Ukraine’s Crimea region and Japanese stocks tumbled.
The losses for macro managers have caused them to cut some of their bigger bets, Anthony Lawler, a money manager at the $120bn firm GAM, wrote in a report last week, though their views -- including that Japanese stocks will rise and the U.S. dollar will gain - could make money later in 2014, he said.
'The directional conviction trades did not play out in the first quarter, despite a strong underlying thesis', Lawler wrote. 'Later this year there may be upside for some of these larger trades such as long US dollar positioning, the Japan reflation trade and the China slowdown risk'.
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