Statistics: How many points is Suarez worth to Liverpool?

Gus Poyet has said that Liverpool would be a mid-table team without the talented Uruguayan.

Sunderland boss Gus Poyet probably wrote Brendan Rodgers’s team talk for him yesterday as he passed comment on where Liverpool would be if they didn’t have Luis Suarez in the team.

“Without Suarez, they would probably be in mid-table," he said.

"It's not about how they play, how they defend, how they pass the ball, it's about having a player who is going to be voted the best player of the year by everybody, if we are honest."

Luis Suarez has missed a total of 11 games during the reign of Brendan Rodgers – thanks to a ten game ban he picked up for biting Branislav Ivanovic towards the back end of last season, along with a one match suspension he received for picking up five bookings.

Here is an analysis of Liverpool without Suarez, and with Suarez.

The results from games Suarez has missed in the league this season are as follows: Stoke (H) 1-0, Aston Villa (A) 1-0, Manchester United (H) 1-0, Swansea City (A) 2-2, Southampton (H) 0-1.

Liverpool 10 5

If that was extrapolated over an entire league season, it would mean that Liverpool would collect 76 points. Good enough for the Champions League? In most cases you would think so.

Last season he missed a 3-2 win away at West Ham before his end of season which saw him miss the 6-0 win against Newcastle United, a 0-0 draw against Everton, a 3-1 win against Fulham and a 1-0 win against Queens Park Rangers.

In total last season, Liverpool took 13 points from five games without their talismanic striker – though some would argue the opposition isn’t the strongest.

Combine that with the games he has missed this season, that makes it 23 points from 11 games which would put Liverpool on 79 points.

There is no doubt that Suarez’s form has been impressive since he returned to the Liverpool side, and he probably is the difference between Liverpool purely pushing for Champions League qualification and challenging for the title. But that is the role of a world class striker – especially when the dynamic of the team is built around them to cater for their strengths.

Liverpool 55 25

If you were to extrapolate Liverpool's 65 points from 30 games so far this season, they would finish on 82 points after 38 games. But if you were to extrapolate the 55 points from the 25 games Suarez has played in so far this season, it indicates the Reds could finish with up to 84 points.

If you wanted to take the most recent form of with and without Suarez based on the samples provided, you could say that over a league campaign, Suarez is worth an extra five points to Liverpool. However, given the 28 goals from his 25 appearances so far this season, some may question that statistic. 

Then again, it does cast doubt on the assertion that Liverpool are a one man team.

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