Why it is more likely since this weekend that Toni Kroos will join Manchester United

Toni Kroos, Germany National Football Team

Recent developments show that this transfer isn’t unrealistic anymore.

So much has already been said about Manchester United’s interest in signing Kroos from Bayern Munich in the summer. Yet it seems that the fans can be more and more hopeful about that. Especially when you have a look at the developments in the last two weeks.

Bayern won it's match against a very good team from Leverkusen 2-1 at home, a low scoreline by their recent high standards. Schweinsteiger netted an incredible free kick and was once again Bayern’s best player, just as last Tuesday against Arsenal.

Guardiola has now for the first time the chance to see what a fit Schweinsteiger is capable of as he didn’t play most of the season because of some injuries. Schweinsteiger was Bayern’s leader on the pitch and organized their midfield performance whereas Kroos’, who played for Thiago yesterday, performance once again dipped below the expectations.

Guardiola criticised his team for losing too many balls in the first half which is probably the harshest criticism you can hear from him as he’s always focused on ball possession as an essential part of the desired dominance of the game. 

With a fit Schweinsteiger Guardiola has another excellent option for the two places in the defensive and central midfield. Normally his two favourite players on these positions are Lahm and Tiago, but he can also pick Schweinsteiger and Kroos.

Apart from that Bayern has already signed the 23-year-old Sebastian Rode from Frankfurt, who is said to be one of the biggest German talents right now. He can play either in the defensive or central midfield, so the competition for these positions won’t become smaller when he comes in the summer.

Many Bayern fans are also waiting for Guardiola to use Alaba for the defensive midfield, a position which he already plays regularly in the Austrian national team. Alaba is supposed to be one of the fastest and most athletic Bayern players who also runs more than the average in every match. His skills would make him an excellent midfielder and many experts in Germany think that Bayern waste his talent when they just use him as a left back.

So Guardiola has a lot of options for these two really important positions. Kroos has showed until now that he can be a very strong player, but he hasn’t shown it regularly enough. Maybe Guardiola could live with him going to Manchester because he is aware of the high quality alternatives. Schweinsteiger’s latest performances also showed that Kroos is replaceable.

Bayern still don’t want to get rid of Kroos, but they are also aware of the signal that the negotiations with Kroos could mean for the rest of the team. If they really pay him almost 50% more than they did so far, then they will have to wonder if other players will come and ask for a decent pay rise as well.

On the other hand, if they maintain their position then the rest of the players know that there’s a clear hierarchy in the team and that you have to earn a higher salary over many years. Maybe like that they could avoid similar cases in the future.

A move to United could also be an interesting new chapter for Kroos. He won every single title possible to him in football last year and will be a German Champion with Bayern again probably within the next two weeks.

What should be his sporting motivation with Bayern for the next couple of years?

A title that he hasn’t won yet is the Premier League. This together with the perspective of earning more money and being an automatic pick means there could be some good reasons to become a Red Devil.

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