Liverpool to miss out on the title suggests revealing data

Anfield Pitch

Statistically Liverpool are unlikely to win the Premier League but at least they will qualify automatically for the Champions League.

While there is now a serious challenge on for the league title Liverpool are actually more realistically placed for third position which would mean avoiding a potentially nervy third-round play-off qualification match to participate in Europe's elite competition proper.

According to data complied by the Mirror, Liverpool will secure third ahead of Arsenal who face a tough run of games over the next month including Tottenham and Chelsea away as well as the the visit of Manchester City before a trip to Goodison Park on 6th April.

The projected table is based on who each team has left to play and how they have performed against sides of similar calibre earlier in the season.

By breaking the league down into bands (top 4 team = band 5, team in next 4 = band 4, etc.), how many points, on average, each team gets against teams from each band can be determined. This is then cross referenced against the team in question's upcoming fixtures and projected how many points they will have received come the end of May.

Rodgers' side are predicted to finish with three more points than the Gunners but with three and ten less than Manchester City and Chelsea respectively.

A suspect defence may be boosted with the impending return of Mamadou Sakho for the Manchester United game at the weekend but there is the feeling that this glaring weakness in the Reds' make-up will persist till the end of the campaign and put paid to any tilt at the title.

Yet it is the Reds' firepower that will ultimately allow them to see off Arsenal in the stakes for the the best of the rest tag. With Luis Suarez and Daniel Sturridge currently leading the way in the goalscoring charts and the North London team lacking any world class strikers there really shouldn't be any surprise at these predictions.

With these considerations in mind third position seems a reasonable bet and back up the data. However Liverpool's form of late has somewhat superseded these and its very much been a case of, 'you score three, we'll score four' policy that has enabled them to get the three points more often than not.

If this continues then there is no reason to suggest the Reds can't defy such predictions and triumph come May, especially as title rivals Chelsea and Manchester City have to visit Anfield. The fate of where the Premier League trophy will end up is very much in Liverpool's hands.

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