But where will Chelsea be after 5 more Premier League games, which takes us up to the middle of December ?
Over the next 5 Premier League matches, Chelsea face: West Ham (a), Southampton (h), Sunderland (a), Stoke City, and Crystal Palace (h).
And we expect Chelsea to pick up 13 points: West Ham - 3 points, Southampton - 3, Sunderland - 1, Stoke City - 3, Crystal Palace - 3.
We also expect Arsenal to pick up 11 Premier League points in their next 5 games - a draw against Southampton, victories at Cardiff and at home to Hull and Everton, and a draw away at Manchester City.
Over the same period, we expect Liverpool to also pick up 11 points (against Everton (a) - 1 point, Hull City (a) - 3, Norwich City (h) - 3, West Ham United (h) - 3, and Tottenham (a) - 1).
Manchester United are also both thought likely to pick up 13 points out of a possible 15.
Manchester United - Cardiff City (a) - 3 points, Tottenham Hotspur (a) -1, Everton (h) - 3, Newcastle United (h) - 3, Aston Villa (a) - 3.
Southampton are thought likely to pick up just 6 points out of 15 over the period - Arsenal (a) - 1 point, Chelsea (a) - 0, Aston Villa (h) - 3, Manchester City (h) - 1, Newcastle United (a) - 1.
Everton are thought likely to bag 7 points over the period - Liverpool (h) - 1 point, Stoke City (h) - 3, Manchester United (a) - 0, Arsenal (a) - 0, Fulham (h) - 3.
Tottenham Hotspur are thought likely to obtain 6 points out of a possible 15 - Manchester City (a) - 0 points, Manchester United (h) - 1, Fulham (a) - 3, Sunderland (a) - 1, Liverpool (h) - 1.
Manchester City are expected to bag 9 points over the period - Tottenham Hotspur (h) - 3 points, Swansea City (h) - 3, WBA (a) - 1, Southampton (a) - 1, Arsenal (h) - 1.
So, it should still be looking good for Chelsea after 16 Premier League matches, when we predict the table will look like this:
Arsenal - 36 points
Chelsea - 34
Liverpool - 34
Manchester United - 33
Manchester City - 28
Southampton - 28
Everton - 27
Tottenham - 26
So we are predicting that the gap at the top should be two points as Chelsea head into the run-up to the festive period.
image: © Tom Cuppens