Where will Arsenal be in the PL after 5 more games ?

Emirates Stadium

In perhaps the most open title race for years, Arsenal remain 2 points clear of their nearest rivals at the top of the Premier League - despite that 1-0 defeat at Old Trafford on Sunday.

But where will Arsenal be after 5 more Premier League games, which takes us up to the middle of December ?

Over the next 5 Premier League matches, Arsenal face Southampton (h), Cardiff (a), Hull City (h), Everton (h), Manchester City (a).

And we believe that Arsenal are likely to pick up 11 Premier League points in these games - a draw against Southampton, victories at Cardiff and at home to Hull and Everton, and a draw away at Manchester City.

Over the same period, we expect Liverpool to also pick up 11 points (against Everton (a) - 1 point, Hull City (a) - 3, Norwich City (h) - 3, West Ham United (h) - 3, and Tottenham (a) - 1).

But Chelsea and Manchester United are both thought likely to pick up 13 points out of a possible 15.

Chelsea - West Ham (a) - 3 points, Southampton (h) - 3, Sunderland (a) - 1, Stoke City (a) - 3, Crystal Palace (h) - 3.

Manchester United - Cardiff City (a) - 3 points, Tottenham Hotspur (a) -1, Everton (h) - 3, Newcastle United (h) - 3, Aston Villa (a) - 3.

Southampton are thought likely to pick up just 6 points out of 15 over the period - Arsenal (a) - 1 point, Chelsea (a) - 0, Aston Villa (h) - 3, Manchester City (h) - 1, Newcastle United (a) - 1.

Everton are thought likely to bag 7 points over the period - Liverpool (h) - 1 point, Stoke City (h) - 3, Manchester United (a) - 0, Arsenal (a) - 0, Fulham (h) - 3.

Tottenham Hotspur are thought likely to obtain 6 points out of a possible 15 - Manchester City (a) - 0 points, Manchester United (h) - 1, Fulham (a) - 3, Sunderland (a) - 1, Liverpool (h) - 1.

Manchester City are expected to bag 9 points over the period - Tottenham Hotspur (h) - 3 points, Swansea City (h) - 3, WBA (a) - 1, Southampton (a) - 1, Arsenal (h) - 1.

So, it should still be looking fairly good for Arsenal after 16 Premier League matches, when we predict the table will look like this:

Arsenal - 36 points

Chelsea - 34

Liverpool - 34

Manchester United - 33

Manchester City - 28

Southampton - 28

Everton - 27

Tottenham - 26

And that decent run will leave Arsenal with 3 very winnable games over the festive period (West Ham (a), Newcastle United (a) and Cardiff City (h), together with the Chelsea game at the Emirates on the 23rd December.

image: © wonker

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