Gotze to Arsenal could come down to which club player believes is in a bigger decline

Borussia Dortmund

Mario Gotze to Arsenal talk has started up again. Even if the finances come good, the player will have to be persuaded.

The Mario Gotze to Arsenal rumours have started up again. And there are several reasons why we do not see it happening.

While from a financial perspective, it very much could, because Arsenal do have cash reserves of more than £120 million and are likely to commit a substantial sum in transfer funds this summer.

Gotze is only 20-years-old, already a German international, and has netted eight Bundesliga goals in 18 games this season.

The central midfielder really is Germany's own version of Jack Wilshere, and so the prospect of them both linking up really is an enticing one for the Gunners.

Even if Arsenal do 'break their wage structure' to offer him the best personal terms around, and convince Dortmund to sell for a crazy fee; Gotze will have a decision to make.

Among his thoughts will be his international prospects. Will they be harmed by moving abroad? A look to Mesut Ozil and Samil Khedira still regulars with Germany despite playing with Real Madrid, will ease any concerns he has.

The big decision centres around the fortunes of both clubs. With Arsenal likely into their eighth trophyless year, the Gunners have been described as a club in decline.

But what about Borussia Dortmund, are they heading in the same direction?

A look at their Champions League performances this season, may indicate otherwise. Dortmund helped eliminate Manchester City in the group stages, and their tie against Shakhtar is finely poised at 2-2 from the first leg.

But in the Bundesliga all is not well. Another loss to league leaders Bayern Munich last night in the cup ensured elimination from a trophy they won last season, adding to their misery at being 17 points behind the league leaders, and after just 23 games their chances of retaining the title are already all but over.

It's a rapid slip in fortunes for Dortmund who won the double last year, defeating Munich 5-2 in the cup final in May.

Instrumental in that win was Shinji Kagawa, sold to Manchester United, and that is a theme behind Dortmund's future worries. Kagawa's sale followed Nuri Sahin's the year before, when he was crucial to them, even though his fortunes have not been great since and he is back there now on loan, it was the first signal they are a selling club.

The latest big name to depart is set to be Robert Lewandowski, who could even join Bayern, or head to the Premier League with Manchester United or Chelsea.

Gotze may feel Dortmund's slide could become irreversible if they continue as a selling club - especially if manager Jurgen Klopp leaves, and the prospects of catching Munich are slim.

In contrast even if Arsenal finish fifth, Gotze could decide that unlike Dortmund, the Gunners have already reached their nadir and it has got as bad as it will do, and he can play a part in their revival in a completely new environment.

Arsene Wenger would have to do a bit of persuading and get him to buy into his plans. At this stage it has to be more unlikely than likely Gotze will join the Gunners, but while Dortmund continue to struggle, if they offer enough cash Arsenal may just have a chance irrespective of their own failings.

image: © peterfuchs

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