Better yet, would Wenger even bid in the first place?
1) Arsenal do need another striker but, having bought Robin van Persie replacements in Lukas Podolski and Olivier Giroud, I can’t see them spending another £20 million on another top-drawer striker.
They will likely sell Marouane Chamakh so what I envisage they’ll be after is a third-choice hitman that can come off the bench and score goals when needed.
2) Whilst Dzeko has certainly been doing exactly that for City this term, he wouldn’t want to play second (or third) fiddle at Arsenal.
He clearly wants first-team football at City but I can’t see him making a dash for the Emirates unless he was first-choice and Wenger has never been one to impede players from making it in the first-team – he rarely buys finished-article players when he has up-and-coming or adequate options.
3) In fact Wenger has become so frugal since Arsenal agreed their stadium sponsorship deal, he seems to be operating a policy of spending only once all other avenues have been exhausted – like converting Mikel Arteta into a replacement for Alex Song.
He won’t spend anywhere near the money City would want for the Bosnian who is now their current top goalscorer, predominantly from the bench.
4) City won’t sell him for any less than they paid for him – which was £27 million less than two years ago. That is not Wenger-price, despite the sale of Robin van Persie for £23 million, I doubt he’ll re-invest any more than £15 million and that would be pushing the boat way out.
5) As suggested, Arsenal will likely buy a ‘third-choice’ striker – the type that is young, energetic, cheap, and at a lesser club. They were in the mix to sign Kevin Mirallas from Olympiakos in the summer but he chose Everton because he wanted regular starts in the first team, which he’s getting.
Everton paid £6 million for him – an absolute bargain for the Greek league top scorer – and that’s the kind of target Wenger will be going for. Whilst he could get Fernando Llorente or Klaas-Jan Huntelaar for less than £10 million, they’ll want to be first-choice and I don’t see him blocking the path or progress of Giroud.
Which is why I can see a January bid for Wilfried Zaha on the horizon but speculation of a move for Dzeko who they wouldn’t want, who wouldn’t go, who wouldn’t be sold that easily, and wouldn’t be bought for his value, when they could have a cheap spritely young option is, in my estimation, way off the mark.